Wednesday, July 31, 2019

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By Rex B. Kline - Becoming a Behavioral Science Researcher: A Guide to Producing Research that Matters (8/31/08)By Rex B. Kline

  • Published on: 2008-08-31
  • Binding: Paperback

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Thursday, July 18, 2019

Free PDF Elementary Sewing Skills: Do it once, do it wellBy Merchant & Mills

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A super-stylish new handbook from Merchant & Mills containing all the answers to sewing's most frequently asked questions. Providing an overview on the art of sewing, this handy volume is packed with information on the tools and materials you will need, seasoned with homegrown tips on essential good practice. Topics given the full Merchant & Mills treatment range from the planning stages through to putting the finishing touches to your project. Measuring and marking, form (including darts and gathering), seams, ease, hems, interfacing and closures such as buttons and zips are all covered. There is expert advice on using and understanding patterns, performing basic alterations, and of course plenty of tips on making the most of any dressmaker's best friend - the iron. Successful sewing is very achievable: just make sure that you have this book to hand at all times, and bear in mind the Merchant & Mills motto: do it once, do it well.

  • Amazon Sales Rank: #1173325 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-01-30
  • Released on: 2015-01-30
  • Format: Kindle eBook
Features
  • Sterling Publishing-Pavilion Books: Elementary Sewing Skills
  • This handy volume provides a thorough overview of sewing and it is all seasoned with homegrown tips on essential good practice so you will successfully master any sewing project you take on
  • Made in China

About the Author Carolyn Denham and Roderick Field, aka Merchant & Mills, produce a range of patterns and ready-to-make kits and superb notions in utilitarian packaging. Carolyn has a degree in fashion and spent several years doing interior design. Roderick is a photographer and writer with works in the National Portrait Gallery. Merchant & Mills products are stocked by the Design Museum, Liberty, the Victoria and Albert Museum, and Selvedge, as well as independent retailers all over the UK and selected outlets in France, Japan, and the US.

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Saturday, July 13, 2019

PDF Ebook By Mel Silberman - The Consultant's Toolkit: High-Impact Questionnaires, Activities and How-to Guides for Diagnosing and Solving Client Pro

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By Mel Silberman - The Consultant's Toolkit: High-Impact Questionnaires, Activities and How-to Guides for Diagnosing and Solving Client Pro

  • Published on: 2000-08-20
  • Binding: Paperback

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Wednesday, July 10, 2019

PDF Ebook The Angel: The Egyptian Spy Who Saved IsraelBy Uri Bar-Joseph

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The Angel: The Egyptian Spy Who Saved IsraelBy Uri Bar-Joseph

A gripping feat of reportage that exposes—for the first time in English—the sensational life and mysterious death of Ashraf Marwan, an Egyptian senior official who spied for Israel, offering new insight into the turbulent modern history of the Middle East.

As the son-in-law of Egyptian president Gamal Abdel Nasser and a close advisor to his successor, Anwar Sadat, Ashraf Marwan had access to the deepest secrets of the country’s government. But Marwan himself had a secret: He was a spy for the Mossad, Israel’s intelligence service. Under the codename “The Angel,” Marwan turned Egypt into an open book for the Israeli intelligence services—and, by alerting the Mossad in advance of the joint Egyptian-Syrian attack on Yom Kippur, saved Israel from a devastating defeat.

Drawing on meticulous research and interviews with many key participants, Uri Bar Joseph pieces together Marwan’s story. In the process, he sheds new light on this volatile time in modern Egyptian and Middle Eastern history, culminating in 2011’s Arab Spring. The Angel also chronicles the discord within the Israeli government that brought down Prime Minister Golda Meir.

However, this nail-biting narrative doesn’t end with Israel’s victory in the Yom Kippur War. Marwan eluded Egypt’s ruthless secret services for many years, but then somebody talked. Five years later, in 2007, his body was found in the garden of his London apartment building. Police suspected he had been thrown from his fifth-floor balcony, and thanks to explosive new evidence, Bar-Joseph can finally reveal who, how, and why.

  • Sales Rank: #16239 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-08-02
  • Released on: 2016-08-02
  • Format: Deckle Edge
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 1.21" w x 6.00" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 384 pages

Review
“Eye-opening…. A lucid and compelling glimpse into the world of espionage and the functioning—or malfunctioning—of leaders.” (Wall Street Journal)

“Trenchant, serpentine…. Packed with jaw-dropping and intimate details…. Bar-Joseph has done a laudable job of synthesizing the voluminous Israeli government information about Marwan, always keeping his eye for some of the outrageous—even absurd—turns of events in a high stakes drama.” (New York Times Book Review)

“A trenchant account of the career of a master spy.” (New York Times Book Review Editors’ Choice)

“A trenchant, serpentine account of the career of the Yom Kippur mole.” (New York Times Book Review, “9 Thrillers (One True) That Times Editors Think You Should Read This Summer”)

“This is a remarkable story of Israel’s greatest spy ever, and an intelligence disaster that almost doomed the state. Deeply reported and powerfully told, The Angel is a must-read espionage saga.” (David Hoffman, Pulitzer Prize-winning author of The Dead Hand and The Billion Dollar Spy)

“This is the best spy story I’ve ever read—and it’s all true. Uri Bar-Joseph weaves a suspenseful tale of the dangerous life—and mysterious death—of a spy who did nothing less than change the course of history in the Middle East. You won’t be able to put it down.” (Howard Blum, New York Times bestselling author of The Last Goodnight and Dark Invasion)

“This remarkable book reveals to us a hidden history, showing how little we actually know of events we thought we understood. One of the most exciting—and surprising—books on Israel I’ve read.” (Yossi Klein Halevi, author of National Jewish Book Award winner Like Dreamers)

“Remarkable…. Partly a spy thriller, The Angel is also an invaluable account of major historical figures.” (The Weekly Standard online)

“A fascinating read into the wilderness of mirrors of espionage, with a laser focus on one of Israel’s greatest spies.… A tremendous case study for any student of intelligence, geo-politics, or history. The book should be required reading for any special agent or intelligence officer.” (Fred Burton, New York Times bestselling author and VP Intelligence, Stratfor)

“Ashraf Marwan was the most valuable source the Mossad had ever recruited.… Bar-Joseph’s fascinating book is an accurate and reliable account of the career of one of the 20th century’s most important spies.” (Maj. Gen. (Ret.) Zvi Zamir, Former Mossad Director (1968-1974))

“Makes a convincing case that Marwan not only never misled the Israelis, but was actually astoundingly valuable to them.… Highly detailed…. Rewarding to anyone interested in Middle East intrigue.… Fascinating.” (Dan Raviv, Moment Magazine)

“Intriguing…. The author…shows great empathy for a man who was in turn respected, reviled, and almost certainly murdered. Well-researched and candidly told, this book deserves shelf space next to volumes on Vladimir Vetrov and Kim Philby.” (Kirkus Reviews)

“Establishes beyond doubt that Marwan was the spy who most benefitted Israel in the 1970s and 1980s…. This work will be of great interest to readers trying to understand the byzantine world of international intelligence.” (Library Journal)

“A fascinating read, possibly the best study ever written on espionage and the Yom Kippur War.” (Jewish Chronicle)

“Gripping . . . . Drawing on research and extensive interviews with people who experienced events firsthand, The Angel sheds new light on a crucial period in the history of modern Egypt and the Middle East, as well as the origins of 2011’s Arab Spring.” (Jewish Book Council)

“Bar-Joseph addresses the key question that for decades has haunted the intelligence community as much as the public….[he] draws a historical and a psychological picture of Marwan that analyses his motivations.” (AlJazeera.com)

“Required reading—as a terrible warning—for everyone involved in intelligence.… A terrific book. It has all the tension, plot twists, and dramatis personae of a spy novel, only the story is real.” (Washington Free Beacon)

“Captivating…. A tale of espionage at the highest level.” (National Interest.org)

“Few things satisfy the appetite for suspense like a true-life spy story as thrilling and intriguing as the best fictional ones.… Bar-Joseph’s writing, and this translation, offer an extremely compelling tale. (Haaretz)

“[Ashraf Marwan’s] intriguing life and suspicious death are detailed in Uri Bar-Joseph’s fascinating new book…. which features extensive research and interviews with those who knew Marwan.” (Jewish News)

From the Back Cover

A riveting feat of research and reportage, The Angel explores one of the twentieth century’s most compelling spy stories: the sensational life and suspicious death of Ashraf Marwan, a top-level Egyptian official who secretly worked for Israel’s Mossad.

As the son-in-law of Egyptian president Gamal Abdel Nasser and a close adviser to his successor, Anwar Sadat, Ashraf Marwan had access to the deepest secrets of his country’s government. But Marwan had a secret of his own: He was a spy for the Mossad, Israel’s renowned intelligence service. Known to his handlers as “the Angel,” Marwan turned Egypt into an open book and saved Israel from a devastating defeat by tipping off the Mossad in advance of the joint Egyptian-Syrian attack on Yom Kippur in 1973.

Remarkably, Marwan eluded Egypt’s ruthless secret police for decades. In later years he enjoyed a luxurious life—but that would come to an abrupt end in 2007, when his body was found in a bed of roses in the garden below his apartment building in London. Police suspected he had been thrown from his balcony on the fifth floor, but the case has remained unsolved. Until now.

After Marwan died, details of his shadowy life were slowly revealed. Drawing on meticulous research and exclusive interviews with key figures involved, The Angel is the first book to discuss Marwan’s motives, how his identity as a Mossad spy was deliberately exposed by none other than the former chief of Israel’s Military Intelligence, and how the information he provided was used—and misused. Expanding on this focus, it sheds new light on the modern history of the Middle East and the crucial role of human espionage in shaping the fate of nations. And, for the first time, it answers the questions haunting Marwan’s legacy: In the end, whom did Ashraf Marwan really betray? And who killed him?

About the Author

Uri Bar-Joseph is Professor of Political Science at the University of Haifa. He is the author of six books about intelligence, Israel’s national security strategy, and the Arab-Israeli conflict. His coming book, Intelligence Success and Failure: A Comparative Study (with Rose McDermott), is forthcoming from Oxford University Press.

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Monday, June 24, 2019

PDF Download Health: Making Choices for LifeBy April Lynch, Barry Elmore, Jerome Kotecki

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Health: Making Choices for LifeBy April Lynch, Barry Elmore, Jerome Kotecki

&>Built by students for students.

 

Health: Making Choices for Life distinguishes itself by speaking your language and helping you to apply the material to your life and implement real behavior change. Built from the ground up with student-generated content and incorporating technology that students use, this is the health book that you can relate to—the one that will inspire you to choose a healthy lifestyle.

 

The student-savvy approach is demonstrated in many different ways throughout the text and is built on an ultra-modern, magazine-style design with appealing photos and visuals that encourage you to read. Additionally, student stories in both the text and online provide real-life examples of important health issues. Unique, practical tools like the Choosing to Change Worksheets walk you through the steps of behavior change and help you to make informed decisions about your lifestyle choices. Lastly, the authors employ a conversational writing style that speaks directly to you while maintaining quality content and excellent academic rigor.

 

Note: If you are purchasing the standalone text or electronic version, MasteringHealth does not come automatically packaged with the text. To purchase MasteringHealth please visit www.masteringhealthandnutrition.com or you can purchase a package of the physical text + MasteringHealth by searching for 0321982703/ 9780321982704.  MasteringHealth is not a self-paced technology and should only be purchased when required by an instructor.

  • Sales Rank: #216567 in Books
  • Brand: Lynch, April/ Elmore, Barry/ Kotecki, Jerome
  • Published on: 2012-12-31
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.70" h x 1.00" w x 9.60" l, 3.70 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 720 pages

About the Author

April Lynch

April Lynch is an award-winning author and journalist who specializes in health, science, and genetics. During her tenure with the San Jose Mercury News, the leading newspaper of Silicon Valley, she served as the Science and Health editor, focusing the paper’s coverage on personal health and disease prevention. She has also worked as a writer and editor for the San Francisco Chronicle. April has written numerous articles on personal health, medical and scientific advances, consumer issues, and the ways that scientific breakthroughs are redefining our understanding of health. She has been a frequent contributor to leading university textbooks covering applied biology, nutrition, and environmental health and science. Together with a leading genetic counselor, April is the co-author of the Genome Book,a hands-on guide to using genetic information in personal health decisions. Her work has won numerous awards from organizations such as the Society of Professional Journalists, the California Newspaper Publishers Association, and the Associated Press. Her current interests include a focus on how people receive and interact with health information online. She lives in San Francisco with her husband and children.

 

Barry Elmore

East Carolina University

Barry Elmore obtained a BS from Mount Olive College and an MA in Health Education at East Carolina University, where he was a merit scholar. Barry has extensive experience in the field of community health with particular focus on sexually transmitted diseases. He served as the Executive Director of the Pitt County AIDS Service Organization, the third largest AIDS Service Organization in North Carolina, before beginning his teach career and worked as a health educator in the non-profit sector for nearly 20 years. He is a member of the American Public Health Association (APHA), the society for Public Health Education (SOPHE), and the North Carolina Association for Research in Education (NCARE), Barry has been recognized for outstanding teaching by his department, college, and university.

 

Jerome Kotecki, HSD

Jerome Kotecki is a professor of Health Science in the Department of Physiology and Health Science at Ball State University. Dr. Kotecki earned his doctorate in health education and his master’s degree in exercise science from Indiana University. He has published more than 40 scientific research papers on the prevention, arrest, and reversal of the most common chronic diseases facing Americans today. Jerome has authored or coauthored multiple textbooks on the importance of healthy lifestyle habits to enhance the multidimensional components of human health and prevent cardiovascular disease, diabetes, cancer, and other chronic conditions. Jerome has extensive experience in health promotion, with particular focus on physical activity and health. An experienced teacher and researcher, he is devoted to helping students adopt and maintain healthy lifestyles. Jerome has been recognized for his contributions to the scholarship of teaching and learning by his department, college, and university. He is an avid fitness participant and enjoys cycling, resistance training, running, mountain biking, hiking, swimming, and yoga.

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Wednesday, June 5, 2019

Free Download Clinical Pediatric Orthopedics: The Art of Diagnosis and Principles of ManagementBy Mihran O. Tachdjian

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Clinical Pediatric Orthopedics: The Art of Diagnosis and Principles of ManagementBy Mihran O. Tachdjian

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This is a comprehensive book that focuses on non-operative management of pediatric orthopedic problems while clearly stating indications for surgery and rationales for selection of the procedures of choice.

  • Sales Rank: #2510794 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: McGraw-Hill/Appleton Lange
  • Published on: 1997-01-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 1.08" h x 8.76" w x 11.34" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 518 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

From the Back Cover
Key Benefit: Comprehensive book focuses on non-operative management of pediatric orthopedic problems while clearly stating indications for surgery and rationales for selection of the procedure. Key Topics: Covers congenital deformities as well as fractures and sports injuries in children. Market: Practicing physicians, residents.

About the Author
Mihran O. Tachdjian, MD (Northwestern University Medical School. Chicago, Illinois)

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Monday, May 20, 2019

Get Free Ebook Takes Two to Tackle (Santa Fe Bobcats)By Jeanette Murray

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Takes Two to Tackle (Santa Fe Bobcats)By Jeanette Murray

NEW IN THE SANTA FE BOBCATS SERIES!
 
Sometimes faking it is your only option...
 
Football player Stephen Harrison has hit rock bottom—he’s fresh out of rehab, lost too much weight to be an effective offensive lineman, and has no support system in place. The Bobcats staff suggests he get a life coach to keep him sober and get him back into playing shape, but Stephen says his girlfriend will help. Too bad he doesn’t have one...
 
Luckily for Stephen, he does have a housekeeper. Margaret has always dreamed of starting her own elite cleaning service, and the money Stephen offers her to play the part of girlfriend is too good to pass up. But while Mags is helping Stephen bulk up and get ready for training camp, she can’t seem to block the feelings crashing into her heart. And one night of passion will pull both of their heads out of the game...
 
 
Praise for the Santa Fe Bobcats series
 
“Sexy and fun.”—The Bookish Babe on One Night with a Quarterback
 
“Jeanette Murray has grabbed me as an author...I am sticking with these Bobcats to the end!”—Delighted Reader on Loving Him off the Field

  • Sales Rank: #182433 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-09-15
  • Released on: 2015-09-15
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review
"I enjoyed the story. . . . It dealt with some very real issues and emotions, and in those it was touching."---Fangs Wands and Fairy Dust

About the Author
Jeanette Murray is the author of the First to Fight series, the Santa Fe Bobcats series, and the Semper Fi books. She also writes contemporary romantic fiction, including the Roped & Wrangled novels, as Kat Murray. Visit her at jeanettemurray.com.

Carly Robins is an actress and voice-over artist. She can be heard on commercials, video games, and promos. Carly comes to narration with a passion for performance along with the capability to span several genres, from romance to children's literature and thrillers.

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Wednesday, May 15, 2019

Ebook Unsung Heroes: An Island Health Worker's JourneyBy Abdul Sattar Yoosuf

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Unsung Heroes: An Island Health Worker's JourneyBy Abdul Sattar Yoosuf

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Unsung Heroes: An Island Health Worker's JourneyBy Abdul Sattar Yoosuf

A community health worker is sent on assignment to manage an atoll health center in one of the scattered and isolated islands of Maldives. Managing a health center almost single-handedly, he overcomes the odds of inclement weather, demanding communities, persistent health risks, and insensitive bosses to bring health to the community and earns respect for himself.

Though fictional, the book is placed in the background of historical facts and traces the progress of the Maldives Primary Health Care system, recounting the struggle and the poignancy experienced by the early health workers of this island nation in their quest to bring health to its far flung island communities.

  • Sales Rank: #2477888 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-11-06
  • Released on: 2013-11-06
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Wednesday, May 8, 2019

Download PDF Articulatory PhoneticsBy Bryan Gick, Ian Wilson, Donald Derrick

Download PDF Articulatory PhoneticsBy Bryan Gick, Ian Wilson, Donald Derrick

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Articulatory PhoneticsBy Bryan Gick, Ian Wilson, Donald Derrick

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Articulatory PhoneticsBy Bryan Gick, Ian Wilson, Donald Derrick

Articulatory Phonetics presents a concise and non-technical introduction to the physiological processes involved in producing sounds in human speech.

  • Traces the path of the speech production system through to the point where simple vocal sounds are produced, covering the nervous system, and muscles, respiration, and phonation
  • Introduces more complex anatomical concepts of articulatory phonetics and particular sounds of human speech, including brain anatomy and coarticulation
  • Explores the most current methodologies, measurement tools, and theories in the field
  • Features chapter-by-chapter exercises and a series of original illustrations which take the mystery out of the anatomy, physiology, and measurement techniques relevant to speech research
  • Includes a companion website at www.wiley.com/go/articulatoryphonetics with additional exercises for each chapter and new, easy-to-understand images of the vocal tract and of measurement tools/data for articulatory phonetics teaching and research
  • Password protected instructor’s material includes an answer key for the additional exercises

  • Sales Rank: #292137 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-01-22
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.70" h x .58" w x 6.75" l, .95 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 272 pages

Review

“A rich yet approachable source of phonetic information, this new text is well structured, well designed, and full of original diagrams.”  (Expofairs, 25 November 2014)

“This book is the perfect companion for all students in phonetics, speech sciences and speech pathologies and complements Keith Johnson’s Acoustic and Auditory Phonetics (3rd edition, 2011, Wiley-Blackwell) as introductory books to phonetic sciences.”  (International Journal of Language & Communication Disorders, 1 May 2013)

 

Review

“Life has just become less lonely for Acoustic and Auditory Phonetics.  Gick, Wilson & Derrick have given us a marvelous addition to the classroom, providing an authoritative description of speech articulation, an insightful and balanced guide to the theory of cognitive control of speech, and a highly readable introduction to the methods used in articulatory phonetics.  All students of phonetics should study this book!” - Keith Johnson, University of California, Berkeley

“Gick, Wilson, and Derrick offer an engaging, comprehensive introduction to how articulation works and how it is investigated in the laboratory.  This textbook fills an important gap in our training of phoneticians and speech scientists.” - Patrice Beddor, University of Michigan

“A rich yet approachable source of phonetic information, this new text is well structured, well designed, and full of original diagrams.” - James Scobbie, Queen Margaret University

From the Back Cover

“Life has just become less lonely for Acoustic and Auditory Phonetics.  Gick, Wilson & Derrick have given us a marvelous addition to the classroom, providing an authoritative description of speech articulation, an insightful and balanced guide to the theory of cognitive control of speech, and a highly readable introduction to the methods used in articulatory phonetics.  All students of phonetics should study this book!” - Keith Johnson, University of California, Berkeley

Articulatory Phonetics presents a concise and non-technical introduction to the physiological processes involved in producing sounds in human speech. With a primary focus on the basic anatomy and physiology of speech and how different kinds of speech sounds are made, the text serves as an ideal guide through this burgeoning area of research.

The authors trace the path of the speech production system through to the point where simple vocal sounds are produced, covering the nervous system, muscles, respiration, and phonation. Subsequent chapters continue through the supralaryngeal system with focus on particular sounds of human speech, and introduce some of the more complex anatomical concepts of articulatory phonetics, including coarticulation and articulatory conflict. The most current methodologies, measurement tools, and theories are also addressed. Chapter-by-chapter exercises and a series of original illustrations take the mystery out of the anatomy, physiology, and measurement techniques relevant to speech research.

A companion website at www.wiley.com/go/articulatoryphonetics includes exercises for each chapter, images including traces of MRI data  and an answer key. Articulatory Phonetics offers non-specialists illuminating insights into this fast-growing field of phonetics.

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Wednesday, May 1, 2019

Ebook Free Spanish Grammar You Really Need To Know (Teach Yourself)By Juan Kattan-Ibarra

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Spanish Grammar You Really Need To Know (Teach Yourself)By Juan Kattan-Ibarra

Spanish Grammar You Really Need To Know (Teach Yourself)By Juan Kattan-Ibarra


Spanish Grammar You Really Need To Know (Teach Yourself)By Juan Kattan-Ibarra


Ebook Free Spanish Grammar You Really Need To Know (Teach Yourself)By Juan Kattan-Ibarra

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Comprehensive and clear explanations of key grammar patterns and structures are reinforced and contextualized through authentic materials. You will not only learn how to construct grammar correctly, but when and where to use it so you sound natural and appropriate. Spanish Grammar You Really Need to Know will help you gain the intuition you need to become a confident communicator in your new language.

  • Sales Rank: #3799049 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-07-26
  • Released on: 2013-07-26
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.75" h x .75" w x 5.00" l, .71 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 352 pages

About the Author
Juan Kattán-Ibarra holds degrees in foreign-language teaching from the Universities of Chile, Michigan State and London. He taught Spanish at Ealing College and Shell International and was an examiner for the University of London School Examinations Board. He now lives and works in Chile.

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Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Download Ebook More Predictive Analytics: Microsoft ExcelBy Conrad Carlberg

Download Ebook More Predictive Analytics: Microsoft ExcelBy Conrad Carlberg

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More Predictive Analytics: Microsoft ExcelBy Conrad Carlberg

More Predictive Analytics: Microsoft ExcelBy Conrad Carlberg


More Predictive Analytics: Microsoft ExcelBy Conrad Carlberg


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More Predictive Analytics: Microsoft ExcelBy Conrad Carlberg

Accurate, practical Excel predictive analysis: powerful smoothing techniques for serious data crunchers!

 

In More Predictive Analytics, Microsoft Excel® MVP Conrad Carlberg shows how to use intuitive smoothing techniques to make remarkably accurate predictions. You won’t have to write a line of code--all you need is Excel and this all-new, crystal-clear tutorial.

 

Carlberg goes beyond his highly-praised Predictive Analytics, introducing proven methods for creating more specific, actionable forecasts. You’ll learn how to predict what customers will spend on a given product next year… project how many patients your hospital will admit next quarter… tease out the effects of seasonality (or patterns that recur over a day, year, or any other period)… distinguish real trends from mere “noise.”

 

Drawing on more than 20 years of experience, Carlberg helps you master powerful techniques such as autocorrelation, differencing, Holt-Winters, backcasting, polynomial regression, exponential smoothing, and multiplicative modeling.

 

Step by step, you’ll learn how to make the most of built-in Excel tools to gain far deeper insights from your data. To help you get better results faster, Carlberg provides downloadable Excel workbooks you can easily adapt for your own projects.

 

If you’re ready to make better forecasts for better decision-making, you’re ready for More Predictive Analytics.

  • Discover when and how to use smoothing instead of regression
  • Test your data for trends and seasonality
  • Compare sets of observations with the autocorrelation function
  • Analyze trended time series with Excel’s Solver and Analysis ToolPak
  • Use Holt's linear exponential smoothing to forecast the next level and trend, and extend forecasts further into the future
  • Initialize your forecasts with a solid baseline
  • Improve your initial forecasts with backcasting and optimization
  • Fully reflect simple or complex seasonal patterns in your forecasts
  • Account for sudden, unexpected changes in trends, from fads to new viral infections
  • Use range names to control complex forecasting models more easily
  • Compare additive and multiplicative models, and use the right model for each task

  • Sales Rank: #609758 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-08-30
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.90" h x .80" w x 6.90" l, 1.40 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 272 pages

About the Author
Conrad Carlberg (S. Carlsbad, CA) is a former Microsoft MVP for Excel.

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Thursday, April 18, 2019

Free PDF Management Information SystemFrom Pearson

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Management Information SystemFrom Pearson

Management Information SystemFrom Pearson


Management Information SystemFrom Pearson


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Management Information SystemFrom Pearson

  • Sales Rank: #115293 in Books
  • Published on: 1738
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 10.79" h x .87" w x 8.50" l, 2.81 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback

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Sunday, April 7, 2019

Free PDF Beginnings: The Sacred DesignBy Bonnie Gaunt

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Beginnings: The Sacred DesignBy Bonnie Gaunt

Beginnings: The Sacred DesignBy Bonnie Gaunt


Beginnings: The Sacred DesignBy Bonnie Gaunt


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Beginnings: The Sacred DesignBy Bonnie Gaunt

Researcher Bonnie Gaunts continues the line of research begun by John Michell into the geometric design of Stonehenge, the Great Pyramid and the Golden Proportions. Chapters in this book cover the following topics: the amazing number 144 and the numbers in the design of the New Jerusalem; the Great Pyramid, Stonehenge and Solomon's Temple display a common design that reveals the work of a Master Designer; the amazing location of Bethlehem; how the process of photosynthesis reveals the sacred design while transforming light into organic substance; how the Bible's number code (gematria) reveals a sacred design; more.

  • Sales Rank: #420019 in Books
  • Color: Other
  • Brand: Brand: Adventures Unlimited Press
  • Published on: 2000-04-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.91" h x .64" w x 5.23" l, .55 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 211 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

About the Author
Bonnie Gaunt is the author of over a dozen books on Bible Codes, numbers and gematria in the New and Old Testaments. Originally from Michigan, she now lives with her cats in Arkansas.

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Friday, March 22, 2019

Ebook No Human Is Illegal: An Attorney on the Front Lines of the Immigration War

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No Human Is Illegal: An Attorney on the Front Lines of the Immigration War

No Human Is Illegal: An Attorney on the Front Lines of the Immigration War


No Human Is Illegal: An Attorney on the Front Lines of the Immigration War


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No Human Is Illegal: An Attorney on the Front Lines of the Immigration War

Product details

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 7 hours and 23 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: HighBridge, a division of Recorded Books

Audible.com Release Date: January 22, 2019

Whispersync for Voice: Ready

Language: English, English

ASIN: B07MWCG6B4

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

Mulligan's book will make you think. He writes from the unique perspective of someone working on the frontline of the immigration crisis. No matter your political persuasion, his understanding into the issues faced by immigrants in today's society are insightful and will challenge the reader to become better informed.

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